Estimated Resolution

Resolution Criteria

Resolution occurs when one of the listed AI companies officially announces and deploys a new major AI model (e.g., a successor to existing flagship models like GPT, Gemini, or Claude) through a public press release, blog post, or product launch event. The first company to do so will be the resolved outcome. If no deployment occurs by the estimated resolution date, the market may be extended or resolved as 'other/none'.

Normalized Question

Which of the top AI companies will deploy their next major AI model first?